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10.1038/ncomms10014
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Título: | The impact of climate change on photovoltaic power generation in Europe |
Fecha de publicación: | 2015 |
Cita bibliográfica: | Nature Communications 2015; 6: 10014. |
ISSN: | Electronic 2041-1723 |
Resumen: | Ambitious climate change mitigation plans call for a significant increase in the use of renewables, which could, however, make the supply system more vulnerable to climate variability and changes. Here we evaluate climate change impacts on solar photovoltaic (PV) power in Europe using the recent EURO-CORDEX ensemble of high-resolution climate projections together with a PV power production model and assuming a well-developed European PV power fleet. Results indicate that the alteration of solar PV supply by the end of this century compared with the estimations made under current climate conditions should be in the range (−14%;+2%), with the largest decreases in Northern countries. Temporal stability of power generation does not appear as strongly affected in future climate scenarios either, even showing a slight positive trend in Southern countries. Therefore, despite small decreases in production expected in some parts of Europe, climate change is unlikely to threaten the European PV sector. |
Autor/es principal/es: | Jerez, Sonia Tobin, Isabelle Vautard, Robert Montávez, Juan Pedro López Romero, José María Thais, Françoise Bartok, Blanka Christensen, Ole Bøssing Colette, Augustin Déqué, Michel Nikulin, Grigory Kotlarski, Sven Van Meijgaard, Erik Teichmann, Claas Wild, Martin |
Facultad/Departamentos/Servicios: | Departamento de Física |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/10201/138589 |
DOI: | 10.1038/ncomms10014 |
Tipo de documento: | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
Número páginas / Extensión: | 8 |
Derechos: | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional |
Descripción: | This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
Aparece en las colecciones: | Artículos: Física |
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